Would Mortgage Rates Create An Impact On Home Recovery?
There has been a great hike in the rates of mortgage, but as far as historical records are concerned, it would not create any impact on the prices of the homes. This is a report stated by Fanni Mae.
Fannie had taken a look into the mortgage rates of 1990 and researched several things on the basis of that. The surprising conclusion of the research was that the rise in rates could have hurt the sales of homes, but they had not any impact on the prices of the homes.
As far as history is concerned, the level in which the interest rates increase will not stop the recovery of the current housing. This is what is stated in the report.
The study conducted by Fannie also compared the rates of mortgage along with the historical price of homes and the data of sale. The report was focused on two different time periods when the rates increased. The first period was from 1993 October to 1994 December. At this time, the rates increased from 6.8% to 9.2%. On the other hand, the second period was from 1998 October to 2000 May. The rates hiked from 6.7% to 8.5%.
In the early 1990s when the rates increased, the home prices leveled. It then fell down suddenly. However, during the climb of the second rate, there was hardly impact on the prices of the homes.
Mark Palim, who was the lead in the study of Fannie Mae said, “What we see through the ups and downs of rate changes is that sellers are reluctant to lower prices.” At the same time, it was also found that the home buyers are interested to find ways of extending the resources. Thus, they switch to loan rates that are adjustable. This in turn, kept the payments affordable in the initial years.
Palim also claimed that economic trends are largely related with home prices and rates. Thus, in a hot economy, there is a rise in rate. This also increases income and buying tendencies.
The entire research might throw some light on the housing market in the coming months.
Rising Interest Rates Preparation
There are some economists who claim that the rates will surely create an impact on the prices of the homes and also the recovery of the housing market.
A chief economist, Mark Zandi examined the mortgage rates and the data of home price for more than 20 years. He found that for a rise in every percentage, the pace of home price rise was lowered by at least half percentage. He also said that, if sustained, the current rate rise will take some of the steam out of the market”.
At the same time, he also noted that the rise in the current rates is low and mortgages are also affordable. This was claimed on the basis of historical average.
Jay Brinkmann, associated with Mortgage Bankers Association claimed that the increase in rates in the recent years will create an impact on the spending powers of the buyers.
There are people who buy homes for personal reasons. They relocate to work or they fall in love with a house. Thus, the hikes in rates do not stop them from buying homes. They are concerned about which house they buy. Thus, instead of a bigger house they can go for smaller ones or in a less expensive neighborhood. Thus, it does not lower the volume of sales.
A chief economist, Lawrence Yun, however says that the rates of mortgage will create an impact on the volume of sales and this will be ultimately followed by the home prices.